Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.858853 12.737275 14.800102 17.227629 19.999927 23.060819 26.689603
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.340796 10.862543 13.886651 17.755466 22.545879 28.253221 35.535116
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.538548 9.323404 12.924277 17.865225 24.403468 32.685996 43.886685
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.278713 8.157098 12.132997 17.928030 26.040509 36.856621 52.200482
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.165821 6.942604 11.021119 17.303614 26.556632 39.467923 58.571161
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.484874 6.216552 10.454612 17.307969 27.856313 43.160596 66.627230
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.946137 5.603370 9.942130 17.279837 29.036071 46.703317 74.670801
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.693588 5.415769 10.060257 18.219978 31.742069 52.667489 86.677831
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.445672 5.187915 10.067505 18.955170 34.157546 58.333772 98.597227
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.248786 5.017214 10.140905 19.790294 36.782710 64.485900 111.653149
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.963948 4.623434 9.754095 19.760345 37.920864 68.296196 121.194950
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.642134 4.093718 9.035614 19.033251 37.755587 69.907905 127.212512
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.372888 3.631266 8.393265 18.391661 37.714568 71.783499 133.913850
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.217216 3.394387 8.171878 18.535238 39.119902 76.248331 145.306162
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.066944 3.139948 7.875773 18.489552 40.153222 80.114479 155.893180
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.941078 2.919714 7.620509 18.492557 41.268725 84.187867 167.078474
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.789113 2.597393 7.084418 17.827650 40.982794 85.637212 173.598681
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.698305 2.421614 6.863617 17.823163 42.029272 89.642959 185.022253
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.617725 2.256713 6.643551 17.790829 43.005739 93.564121 196.497551
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.594141 2.258684 6.843086 18.753974 46.181464 101.967684 216.919445
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.561985 2.227030 6.950720 19.507538 48.956348 109.733632 236.512009
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.536030 2.210148 7.095061 20.363815 52.021308 118.253513 257.994966
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.478536 2.073308 6.891854 20.333014 53.083527 122.750765 271.790627